Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 80610.176452 85114.186461 89618.424761 94457.664172 99506.453602 104615.259911 110172.283973
2025-05-04 73580.063525 80498.556402 87612.201043 95463.107839 103874.479599 112605.738390 122343.961048
2025-05-11 67950.632784 76471.525113 85427.462160 95521.729632 106561.280441 118246.663838 131529.507285
2025-05-18 63714.933985 73431.790147 83834.509957 95765.985435 109037.380319 123310.719193 139786.450567
2025-05-25 60149.136293 70794.003410 82376.118989 95864.151449 111088.152497 127687.147197 147100.254528
2025-06-01 57765.327129 69269.913449 81968.053656 96955.131848 114088.849087 132993.345960 155354.475822
2025-06-08 54878.310061 66985.178880 80530.426341 96719.890001 115450.782693 136347.027099 161324.116475
2025-06-15 53301.951509 66103.627187 80600.745518 98122.855978 118610.882866 141690.406597 169530.967832
2025-06-22 51531.816993 64890.014919 80193.510178 98888.111780 120966.676435 146066.411811 176605.124662
2025-06-29 49566.214653 63346.218378 79310.995381 99014.457218 122508.701378 149452.141983 182503.054291
2025-07-06 47724.669598 61867.524812 78429.812347 99071.716389 123910.129993 152631.362262 188135.361741
2025-07-13 46872.417794 61545.375523 78894.843962 100707.451565 127167.825281 157989.103869 196348.726444
2025-07-20 45921.051747 61080.059287 79178.965297 102133.835002 130205.747851 163142.875699 204412.847692
2025-07-27 44655.477324 60175.594950 78887.369631 102828.537507 132343.593535 167225.331322 211224.568290
2025-08-03 43119.394331 58872.693322 78052.615559 102808.821544 133574.660296 170196.457136 216696.531245
2025-08-10 41803.479489 57800.297434 77460.587388 103050.154881 135095.463958 173500.650460 222570.371979
2025-08-17 40499.737211 56696.366027 76786.553720 103150.418287 136411.702223 176538.136850 228117.412311
2025-08-24 39752.845704 56285.686807 76966.146998 104307.168856 139034.357945 181179.720099 235649.433678
2025-08-31 38421.091843 55063.206362 76067.783383 104057.386723 139862.577108 183590.241285 240429.006298
2025-09-07 37915.279520 54913.930608 76536.020746 105545.810213 142884.616454 188732.213051 248619.279550
2025-09-14 37148.857426 54388.880576 76493.336352 106357.592318 145037.065790 192791.846655 255480.282973
2025-09-21 36137.607200 53501.522321 75947.975969 106491.612121 146304.361477 195733.625415 260948.211957
2025-09-28 35143.587960 52607.107113 75365.671697 106552.349117 147458.623717 198523.753129 266228.940620